Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Brooksby (-1.5) vs McDonald (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f8e1143b9aed2eeedbbce45588dcc2b83a187d76083618d7789b21c4d464664
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- McDonaldof Brooksby, McDonald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd52…df69backed McDonald | 55c | 7,057$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.78 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Brooksby | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.99 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Brooksby | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Brooksby | 50c | 976.64$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked McDonald | 50c | 577.32$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.03 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked McDonald | 55c | 535.44$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.89 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Brooksby | 50c | 492.5$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.46 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked McDonald | 49c | 322.86$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.66 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed McDonald | 52c | 149.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked McDonald | 54c | 147.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 226 | 46%104 W · 122 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked McDonald | 54c | 147.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…7c98backed McDonald | 54c | 147.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked McDonald | 54c | 147.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked McDonald | 54c | 147.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe47…a4b1backed McDonald | 54c | 147.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…614cbacked McDonald | 54c | 101.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Brooksby | 45c | 91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Brooksby | 45c | 91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Brooksby | 44c | 56.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Brooksby | 46c | 51.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked McDonald | 55c | 45.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked McDonald | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Brooksby | 45c | 23.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Brooksby | 46c | 23.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Brooksby | 45c | 23.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed McDonald | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Brooksby (-1.5) vs McDonald (+1.5)this page
- McDonald vs. Brooksby: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- McDonald vs. Brooksby: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- McDonald vs. Brooksby: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: McDonald vs BrooksbyMcDonald won
- US Men's Clay Court Championships: Mackenzie McDonald vs Jenson BrooksbyMackenzie McDonald won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.