TailMyPicks
Market

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,633
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,633 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes64c6,493$4,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3615,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No42c3,425$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.922949.8%114 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No21c2,162$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.0984342.2%356 W · 487 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes28c1,726$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.271,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No47c1,136$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No49c999.97$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9939649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…22ebbacked Yes80c928.57$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.711656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No49c917.27$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.6817249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes53c898$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.068955.1%49 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes52c840$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.043644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No48c797.99$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.049947.5%47 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed No6c703.3$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5abe…84cebacked Yes31c677.42$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.421040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No7c672.72$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9493535.2%329 W · 606 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No48c606.89$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.6613644.9%61 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No71c554.53$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.162,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No50c553.4$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.776239.2%299 W · 463 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No16c413.32$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0410456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed No6c339.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20340%0 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes52c338.64$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.11,46435.6%521 W · 943 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339227.2%25 W · 67 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Yes32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2045930.5%18 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No49c285.82$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4496846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes49c204.53$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5311141.4%46 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Yes53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314429.5%13 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes65c180.52$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9825155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No7c167.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.432718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes65c167.12$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2537153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes61c123.16$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9219354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No47c115.78$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.421,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.214242.9%18 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No12c110.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5130548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed No48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes64c99.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6314440.3%58 W · 86 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed No48c99.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9911839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…a31dbacked Yes51c99.97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.982356.5%13 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+47.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No13c99.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8513654.4%74 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed No18c99.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.035337.7%20 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes59c95$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3318261.5%112 W · 70 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05b2…953bbacked Yes38c95$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.92138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes52c93.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.983240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes63c85.57$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.332060%192 W · 128 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Yes51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.22944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes70c77.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1977056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7afb…6f29backed Yes43c69.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.52933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No66c67.12$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.31,08041.7%450 W · 630 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…d4a1backed No52c66.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5940%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes50c63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Yes69c61.7$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.336460.9%39 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes46c55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.790544.9%406 W · 499 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed No49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517630.1%53 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9b…8b7dbacked Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.32per pick43cpaid-77.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbef0…69c8backed Yes35c49.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.173040%12 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No32c48.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.152,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No42c46.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.672944.2%322 W · 407 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes50c44.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1411861.9%73 W · 45 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes43c42.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.372342%304 W · 419 L-29.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e7d…7161backed Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes58c40.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.144847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.228941.6%37 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No49c38.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6535751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes50c36.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461,76650.2%887 W · 879 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea88…261abacked Yes80c36.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.392458.3%14 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes39c30.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8529425.2%74 W · 220 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No47c30.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.134040%16 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes51c30.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8554746.8%256 W · 291 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked No50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Yes48c29.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.553551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed Yes34c29.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.424052.5%21 W · 19 L+8.5wins+0.21per pick31cpaid+106.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Yes47c29.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.581520%3 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.171752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes80c26.79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3616659.6%99 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1040…ac10backed Yes78c25.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.672286.4%19 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Yes78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.52962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No48c23.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3217058.2%99 W · 71 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes71c23.34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7712962%80 W · 49 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Yes53c22.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.545261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5837…8cdebacked Yes52c21.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.432556%14 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf1d…9591backed Yes53c21.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.152458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099c…e42cbacked Yes53c20.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.752653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44dc…802dbacked Yes53c20.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.752347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No63c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3482053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3500…07f0backed Yes76c17.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.091675%12 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes78c16.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.672,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.