Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51dbeffa87bded986cb26e95cf20064a379eeba792dce7b4d1856de259c506db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 57c | 827.11$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.62 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 71c | 345.77$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.45 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Under | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…3fedbacked Over | 13c | 168.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 44c | 149.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.62 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +6.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Under | 28c | 107.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +7.1wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 97.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 18c | 71.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 42c | 41.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Under | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 35.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 41c | 35.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked Over | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…802dbacked Over | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 72c | 21.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.