Tennis · resolved market
Segovia: Luka Pavlovic vs Mert Alkaya
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa15dafef42d09f6fb3d004e37565ec3d98e197ba14b1a4386fd1c5e7fe2adb0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luka Pavlovicof Luka Pavlovic, Mert Alkaya
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Mert Alkaya | 51c | 156,725$79,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,178.02 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luka Pavlovic | 48c | 51,064$24,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,401.91 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d2…8850backed Mert Alkaya | 20c | 24,032$4,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,904.45 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Luka Pavlovic | 67c | 21,199$14,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,072.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luka Pavlovic | 77c | 17,985$13,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,225.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Luka Pavlovic | 50c | 14,443$7,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,265.94 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 9,810$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,810.16 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luka Pavlovic | 50c | 7,814$3,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,895.58 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 7,542$3,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,722.74 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Luka Pavlovic | 50c | 7,407$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.7 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Mert Alkaya | 50c | 5,090$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.18 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Luka Pavlovic | 49c | 4,993$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.6 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Luka Pavlovic | 48c | 4,719$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.14 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Luka Pavlovic | 77c | 4,410$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Luka Pavlovic | 52c | 2,800$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Luka Pavlovic | 54c | 2,444$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.58 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Mert Alkaya | 54c | 2,437$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.7 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Mert Alkaya | 48c | 2,292$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Luka Pavlovic | 80c | 2,012$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Luka Pavlovic | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…4591backed Mert Alkaya | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Luka Pavlovic | 59c | 1,991$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.27 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Luka Pavlovic | 68c | 1,832$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.42 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Luka Pavlovic | 61c | 1,690$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.61 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Luka Pavlovic | 50c | 1,560$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.56 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Luka Pavlovic | 48c | 1,525$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.34 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 1,350$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.55 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Luka Pavlovic | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Luka Pavlovic | 52c | 995.62$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.16 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Mert Alkaya | 26c | 960.05$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.48 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Luka Pavlovic | 50c | 801$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.98 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mert Alkaya | 26c | 775.56$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.49 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Mert Alkaya | 40c | 775.56$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.68 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…2e6bbacked Mert Alkaya | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Luka Pavlovic | 45c | 585.5$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.03 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Luka Pavlovic | 62c | 569.24$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.47 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Luka Pavlovic | 48c | 567.08$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.41 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Luka Pavlovic | 46c | 562.12$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.72 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb943…375bbacked Mert Alkaya | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 176 | 49.4%87 W · 89 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Luka Pavlovic | 48c | 500$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.88 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Luka Pavlovic | 60c | 489.81$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.33 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Mert Alkaya | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 220 | 50.9%112 W · 108 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Mert Alkaya | 55c | 454.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Luka Pavlovic | 69c | 435.95$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.14 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Luka Pavlovic | 54c | 431.48$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.48 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Mert Alkaya | 34c | 429.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Luka Pavlovic | 52c | 419$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.31 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 417.87$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.71 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…6674backed Mert Alkaya | 48c | 411.21$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.38 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Luka Pavlovic | 46c | 405.4$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.92 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Luka Pavlovic | 46c | 405.4$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.92 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Mert Alkaya | 47c | 400.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.18 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Luka Pavlovic | 76c | 371.88$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c8…a25cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 79c | 350$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Luka Pavlovic | 58c | 347.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.03 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Luka Pavlovic | 80c | 345.66$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 458 | 50.7%232 W · 226 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…ac39backed Luka Pavlovic | 80c | 340.85$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Mert Alkaya | 22c | 325.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Mert Alkaya | 3c | 315$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 245 | 46.5%114 W · 131 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Luka Pavlovic | 52c | 313$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Mert Alkaya | 47c | 311$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.74 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 259.97$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.41 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Luka Pavlovic | 46c | 247.62$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Luka Pavlovic | 53c | 245$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mert Alkaya | 48c | 242.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.93 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c39…f55dbacked Mert Alkaya | 6c | 236.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Mert Alkaya | 19c | 226.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 224.97$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…76c6backed Luka Pavlovic | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Mert Alkaya | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Luka Pavlovic | 50c | 204$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Luka Pavlovic | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed Luka Pavlovic | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Mert Alkaya | 21c | 198.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 196.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 256 | 33.6%86 W · 170 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Luka Pavlovic | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 47c | 183.57$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 182$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Luka Pavlovic | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Luka Pavlovic | 53c | 167.75$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Luka Pavlovic | 75c | 167.59$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Luka Pavlovic | 50c | 163.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Luka Pavlovic | 52c | 150.02$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Mert Alkaya | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2f…65ecbacked Luka Pavlovic | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Luka Pavlovic | 46c | 149.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Luka Pavlovic | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce76…9371backed Mert Alkaya | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Mert Alkaya | 30c | 142$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed Luka Pavlovic | 46c | 137.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Mert Alkaya | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 249 | 51.4%128 W · 121 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Luka Pavlovic | 46c | 128$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Luka Pavlovic | 49c | 119.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Mert Alkaya | 13c | 119.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Mert Alkaya | 49c | 118.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Luka Pavlovic | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Segovia: Luka Pavlovic vs Mert Alkayathis page
- Pavlovic vs. Alkaya: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.