Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa26234870f656d2d759531b7ff35dd28d9cd080aca56856867455b8b80b9b130
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd918…aa30backed Yes | 0c | 12,695$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x251f…0a14backed Yes | 0c | 12,333$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 42c | 806.38$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.77 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc1…2ababacked Yes | 42c | 795.64$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.15 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 42c | 562.95$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.68 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Yes | 5c | 449.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ce…27a2backed Yes | 43c | 405.15$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 553 | 36.7%203 W · 350 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 31c | 328.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662e…4b20backed Yes | 40c | 325.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.14 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +16.4wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…eb6ebacked Yes | 50c | 238.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddef…ea08backed Yes | 50c | 181.72$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…2389backed Yes | 62c | 166.89$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 171 | 56.7%97 W · 74 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…68a1backed No | 49c | 147.82$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 43c | 135.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 30c | 134.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 65c | 133.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 47c | 122.32$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 60c | 119.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe4…7d42backed Yes | 45c | 115.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…1ea7backed No | 60c | 111.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked Yes | 48c | 107.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 386 | 55.7%215 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…9362backed Yes | 65c | 107.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 48c | 104.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…428cbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9188…e046backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 569 | 21.8%124 W · 445 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847b…b0fcbacked Yes | 45c | 97.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Yes | 57c | 90.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed No | 77c | 90.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa131…1074backed Yes | 41c | 88.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 58c | 86.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…e43abacked Yes | 45c | 85.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…3bf4backed No | 65c | 80.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…ad9dbacked Yes | 47c | 80.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 63c | 78.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467a…e448backed Yes | 58c | 77.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…22d6backed Yes | 58c | 73.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 35c | 72.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…256cbacked No | 54c | 70.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 59c | 70.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…b8c9backed Yes | 43c | 65.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…0fa3backed Yes | 59c | 57.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Yes | 44c | 55.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…07a5backed No | 52c | 53.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 247 | 68.4%169 W · 78 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3862…d3a0backed Yes | 35c | 53.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b1…5999backed Yes | 43c | 52.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…ea10backed Yes | 52c | 51.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…40e5backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…f009backed Yes | 58c | 49.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 40c | 49.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2861…4b7bbacked No | 57c | 47.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…64c5backed No | 73c | 44.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…0c43backed No | 53c | 44.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…bec3backed Yes | 54c | 42.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…91a8backed Yes | 45c | 42.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216d…8087backed No | 58c | 41.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed No | 54c | 40.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…d384backed Yes | 60c | 38.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 62c | 38.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…51f6backed Yes | 50c | 37.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…3122backed Yes | 31c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 474 | 23.6%112 W · 362 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…91cdbacked Yes | 54c | 35.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Yes | 42c | 33.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5f…c2ebbacked Yes | 59c | 32.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…8e7ebacked No | 32c | 31.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 960 | 15%144 W · 816 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…2ea5backed No | 43c | 31.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…1398backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe037…8a91backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…dbaabacked Yes | 39c | 28.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…6405backed Yes | 56c | 27.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…046fbacked No | 41c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 253 | 35.2%89 W · 164 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61b…4dc9backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…08f3backed Yes | 47c | 24.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…deacbacked Yes | 49c | 23.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 65c | 23.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…c37dbacked No | 64c | 23.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 190 | 58.9%112 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked No | 64c | 22.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…1689backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 474 | 32.5%154 W · 320 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,034 | 51.3%530 W · 504 L | +69.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Yes | 68c | 18.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…7522backed No | 63c | 17.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…3687backed No | 61c | 17.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.