Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Flora win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1360752f2ea165e6f5554006077c0844add4dfba607cfc8f1efaaa4d79ce0611
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 2,163$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.6 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,900$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 705.31$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.12 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 24c | 699.71$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.87 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 682.56$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.52 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 657.45$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.76 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 79c | 557.29$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.03 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Yes | 23c | 516.56$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.81 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd79e…d969backed Yes | 23c | 229.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 221.07$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 16c | 220.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 186.48$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…511dbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yes | 21c | 128.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 75c | 88.27$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 77c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 77c | 84.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 23c | 81.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 69.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed No | 77c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 78c | 61.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 78c | 51.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 30 | 90%27 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 79cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 49.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 79c | 43.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…9481backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 75c | 33.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 78cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed No | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 76c | 18.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 76c | 16.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 75c | 15.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…3172backed No | 77c | 15.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Flora win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will The New Saints FC vs. FC Flora end in a draw?No won
- Will The New Saints FC win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.