Premier League · resolved market
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3983c1ddf78715094c495356cf2af22f2796ee23b6f6f1bd7898648b2eab6707
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 65c | 1,755$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.3 | 1,012 | 36%364 W · 648 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 62c | 1,104$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.74 | 741 | 50.9%377 W · 364 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 72c | 1,024$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.08 | 1,190 | 32.5%387 W · 803 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 39c | 964$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.96 | 219 | 47%103 W · 116 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 36c | 651.29$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.71 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 604.4$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.7 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Under | 3c | 500.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 29c | 311.34$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -10.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 242.17$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd79e…d969backed Over | 54c | 211.89$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 37c | 189.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 851 | 52.9%450 W · 401 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 71c | 145.86$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 783 | 42.5%333 W · 450 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 70c | 122.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 1,786 | 34.9%623 W · 1,163 L | -34.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +275.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 62c | 84.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 347 | 39.2%136 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 38c | 79.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1,305 | 42.4%553 W · 752 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 37c | 75.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Under | 38c | 65.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Over | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 54c | 35.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 410 | 42%172 W · 238 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…c7acbacked Over | 63c | 21.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: Port Vale FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: Port Vale FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: Port Vale FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC O/U 0.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.