Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e825d471dcf5fc7f42a2e091ea9595a7eb1d5dcb934ba44e1ee54498e9c3842
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FCof Wolverhampton Wanderers FC, Port Vale FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 62c | 20,000$12,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,661.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Port Vale FC | 38c | 10,656$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,075.43 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Port Vale FC | 39c | 3,394$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.78 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Port Vale FC | 45c | 3,049$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Port Vale FC | 38c | 2,891$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.27 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Port Vale FC | 38c | 1,620$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.74 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Port Vale FC | 42c | 1,560$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.61 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Port Vale FC | 40c | 1,203$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.89 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Port Vale FC | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 57c | 499$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.29 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Port Vale FC | 43c | 474.56$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.43 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Port Vale FC | 40c | 421$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.66 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Port Vale FC | 33c | 384.72$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Port Vale FC | 40c | 289.18$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.67 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Port Vale FC | 39c | 265.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 59c | 195.01$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Port Vale FC | 43c | 164.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 58c | 155.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Port Vale FC | 43c | 127.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 57c | 116.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…12a6backed Port Vale FC | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 50c | 106.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Port Vale FC | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Port Vale FC | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Port Vale FC | 51c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Port Vale FC | 41c | 72.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 49c | 68.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…8525backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 58c | 68.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Port Vale FC | 51c | 66.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Port Vale FC | 45c | 60.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Port Vale FC | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Port Vale FC | 39c | 33.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 62c | 29.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: Port Vale FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: Port Vale FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: Port Vale FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC O/U 0.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.