TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,025 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Under57c321.97$183 inLost-$182.991,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Over43c264.2$114 inWon+$150.06955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under13c115$15 inLost-$15.47354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under57c110.72$63 inLost-$63.111,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Over43c110.72$48 inWon+$63.111275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c66.44$29 inWon+$37.8753240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under45c26.87$12 inLost-$12.1414349.7%71 W · 72 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Over76c20.99$16 inWon+$5.133852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.