Premier League · resolved market
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe55f2d05b79baa118b96d69bf1f6eb1d590af9cb161743a16f976d2973187f5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 59c | 4,532$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.1 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 16c | 4,436$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,722.39 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 50c | 2,162$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.92 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 2,101$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 67c | 2,016$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.16 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 62c | 1,102$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.76 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 62c | 626.4$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.36 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -10.8wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 16c | 564.78$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.42 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…88c1backed Over | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 49c | 483$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.3 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 35c | 469.91$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Over | 46c | 439.98$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 52c | 345.73$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.19 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 49c | 345.12$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.06 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Over | 32c | 282.45$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…5fe5backed Under | 36c | 275.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.12 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 59c | 250.78$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ca…ac4cbacked Under | 78c | 179.48$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 77c | 171.43$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca42…a02abacked Under | 58c | 167.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 52c | 116.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 53c | 76.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 53c | 76.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 52c | 76.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 69.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 19c | 66.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +324.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 48c | 59.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 52c | 59.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…b695backed Under | 67c | 43.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 57c | 38.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 51c | 35.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 72c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: Port Vale FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: Port Vale FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: Port Vale FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC O/U 0.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.