Tennis · resolved market
Hamburg: Marvin Moeller vs Niels McDonald
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8e087ef95f39185bf4382666b9007b3195ad7884803c1bbcbb8758632ac03a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marvin Moellerof Marvin Moeller, Niels McDonald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Niels McDonald | 42c | 23,675$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Niels McDonald | 36c | 21,829$7,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,932.86 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Marvin Moeller | 78c | 16,836$13,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,712.8 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Marvin Moeller | 58c | 10,793$6,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,582.83 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Niels McDonald | 30c | 7,150$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.47 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Marvin Moeller | 55c | 5,091$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.91 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marvin Moeller | 73c | 4,753$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.78 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Marvin Moeller | 57c | 3,621$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.89 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Marvin Moeller | 57c | 3,126$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.22 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Niels McDonald | 29c | 2,594$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.46 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marvin Moeller | 69c | 2,482$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.22 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Niels McDonald | 42c | 2,262$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Marvin Moeller | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 312 | 53.2%166 W · 146 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Marvin Moeller | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Marvin Moeller | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Niels McDonald | 36c | 1,446$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.49 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Marvin Moeller | 70c | 1,337$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.43 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Marvin Moeller | 64c | 1,283$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.3 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Marvin Moeller | 77c | 1,178$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.21 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Marvin Moeller | 69c | 1,147$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.37 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Niels McDonald | 40c | 1,131$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.8 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Niels McDonald | 40c | 915.36$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.16 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Niels McDonald | 37c | 864.08$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.71 | 458 | 50.7%232 W · 226 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Niels McDonald | 26c | 853.71$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.19 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Marvin Moeller | 61c | 745$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.55 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…7a4ebacked Marvin Moeller | 56c | 719.99$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Marvin Moeller | 74c | 627.22$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.1 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Niels McDonald | 41c | 599.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88a…4f75backed Niels McDonald | 2c | 585.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Marvin Moeller | 60c | 554.49$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.35 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Marvin Moeller | 72c | 551.95$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.02 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Niels McDonald | 42c | 534.31$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.36 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Niels McDonald | 6c | 519$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Marvin Moeller | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Niels McDonald | 44c | 499.73$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.69 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Marvin Moeller | 60c | 497.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.36 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Marvin Moeller | 59c | 492.76$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.47 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…5269backed Niels McDonald | 38c | 479.68$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.28 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Niels McDonald | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Niels McDonald | 42c | 439.22$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.48 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…e73fbacked Marvin Moeller | 57c | 431.03$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.34 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1429…b6babacked Marvin Moeller | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e54…e773backed Marvin Moeller | 58c | 423.72$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.96 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e0a1backed Marvin Moeller | 58c | 423.72$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.96 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0f79backed Marvin Moeller | 58c | 423.72$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.96 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb38d…6735backed Marvin Moeller | 58c | 423.72$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.96 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…203fbacked Marvin Moeller | 58c | 423.72$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.96 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…5339backed Marvin Moeller | 58c | 423.72$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.96 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…f9f5backed Marvin Moeller | 58c | 423.72$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.96 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66eb…a375backed Marvin Moeller | 58c | 423.72$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.96 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…d394backed Marvin Moeller | 58c | 423.72$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.96 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Marvin Moeller | 80c | 388.65$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.09 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Marvin Moeller | 80c | 371$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Niels McDonald | 20c | 311.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Marvin Moeller | 79c | 302.82$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd99…6f76backed Marvin Moeller | 57c | 265.71$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Marvin Moeller | 61c | 231.83$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Niels McDonald | 12c | 231.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Niels McDonald | 46c | 229.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Marvin Moeller | 59c | 222.11$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.07 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Niels McDonald | 42c | 204.91$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 149 | 21.5%32 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Niels McDonald | 41c | 200.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e4…5aeabacked Marvin Moeller | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Niels McDonald | 27c | 197.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Niels McDonald | 29c | 196.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Marvin Moeller | 63c | 188.46$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Marvin Moeller | 57c | 176.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…daa3backed Niels McDonald | 16c | 174.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Marvin Moeller | 59c | 173.2$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Marvin Moeller | 58c | 170.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Marvin Moeller | 80c | 166.25$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b2…11babacked Niels McDonald | 33c | 162.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Marvin Moeller | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd79e…d969backed Marvin Moeller | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…c618backed Marvin Moeller | 64c | 151.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 128 | 60.2%77 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Marvin Moeller | 69c | 144$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…55dfbacked Marvin Moeller | 68c | 141$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Niels McDonald | 15c | 137.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 31%75 W · 167 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Niels McDonald | 42c | 132$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 408 | 36.8%150 W · 258 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Niels McDonald | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Marvin Moeller | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Niels McDonald | 37c | 122$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Niels McDonald | 42c | 121.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Niels McDonald | 41c | 120.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Marvin Moeller | 60c | 116.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Marvin Moeller | 69c | 116.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 306 | 47.7%146 W · 160 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacab…28bcbacked Marvin Moeller | 67c | 112.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Niels McDonald | 32c | 111.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Marvin Moeller | 60c | 108.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Marvin Moeller | 61c | 107.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Marvin Moeller | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 449 | 46.1%207 W · 242 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Niels McDonald | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Niels McDonald | 29c | 99.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Niels McDonald | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Niels McDonald | 44c | 86.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x308c…74e8backed Marvin Moeller | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Marvin Moeller | 60c | 84.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Niels McDonald | 43c | 73.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Niels McDonald | 38c | 71.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Marvin Moeller | 59c | 65.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburg: Marvin Moeller vs Niels McDonaldthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Moeller vs McDonaldMoeller won
- Set Handicap: Moeller (-1.5) vs McDonald (+1.5)Moeller won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.