Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Marta Lombardini vs Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc26bc7112759f5f8a4c10483f6cb715af08a8ad9f2987af5915c8245a8d137ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cristiana Nicoleta Todoniof Marta Lombardini, Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 37c | 4,866$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.61 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marta Lombardini | 64c | 3,315$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.75 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Marta Lombardini | 59c | 957.55$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.63 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Marta Lombardini | 11c | 537.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Marta Lombardini | 68c | 443$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.26 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…1bfabacked Marta Lombardini | 61c | 329.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 37c | 257.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.54 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1840…fbd1backed Marta Lombardini | 8c | 205$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 39c | 185.64$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Marta Lombardini | 65c | 162$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Marta Lombardini | 41c | 127.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd79e…d969backed Marta Lombardini | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd99…6f76backed Marta Lombardini | 79c | 109.09$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 36c | 99.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed Marta Lombardini | 65c | 96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 37c | 82.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 33c | 80.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 39c | 76.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Marta Lombardini | 65c | 71.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…a282backed Marta Lombardini | 64c | 63.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 54c | 50.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Marta Lombardini | 70c | 48.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Marta Lombardini | 24c | 46.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 39c | 40.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Marta Lombardini | 67c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 56c | 31.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Marta Lombardini | 65c | 30.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Marta Lombardini vs Cristiana Nicoleta Todonithis page
- ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Completed Match: Marta Lombardini vs Cristiana Nicoleta TodoniYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.