Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hechingen: Nuria Brancaccio vs Nastasja Schunk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dfad99a759d546a149e1cecf4ae1207c7a429536bfb14e89b765f9ed6e0d208
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuria Brancaccioof Nuria Brancaccio, Nastasja Schunk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nastasja Schunk | 12c | 1,066$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.55 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Nastasja Schunk | 49c | 547.24$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.57 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Nuria Brancaccio | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Nuria Brancaccio | 49c | 428.57$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.57 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed Nuria Brancaccio | 75c | 358.35$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.05 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Nuria Brancaccio | 44c | 268.66$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.45 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Nastasja Schunk | 40c | 194.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Nastasja Schunk | 42c | 58.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Nuria Brancaccio | 77c | 54.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Nuria Brancaccio | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Nuria Brancaccio | 76c | 42.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 45c | 32.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nuria Brancaccio | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nastasja Schunk | 40c | 30.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Nastasja Schunk | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nuria Brancaccio | 61c | 18.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.