MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c6c96383564bfbc1ea935b4f57e5a849a6c15d785f5d2ed8b1bdf46aa74056a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kiwoom Heroesof Kiwoom Heroes, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked NC Dinos | 70c | 2,151$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 2,043$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.87 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 802.8$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.83 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed NC Dinos | 68c | 463.2$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.98 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed NC Dinos | 72c | 366.03$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked NC Dinos | 67c | 221.23$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 61c | 206.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.07 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed NC Dinos | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 195$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.65 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 52c | 190.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NC Dinos | 62c | 179.27$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 167$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 120.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 56c | 103.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 51c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked NC Dinos | 64c | 79.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 77.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…8716backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 75.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 74.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed NC Dinos | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed NC Dinos | 35c | 61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed NC Dinos | 69c | 43.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed NC Dinos | 35c | 39.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked NC Dinos | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kiwoom Heroes | 68c | 31.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked NC Dinos | 73c | 30.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NC Dinos | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 73c | 29.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed NC Dinos | 59c | 26.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked NC Dinos | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked NC Dinos | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.