CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4439ec3e248ffa0dbd00203af5709459c79edf43dbc2aadfd9f9aae490201494
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof Fake do Biru, paiN Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked paiN Academy | 20c | 8,797$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.63 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fake do Biru | 67c | 2,625$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.71 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Fake do Biru | 66c | 2,365$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.23 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fake do Biru | 55c | 1,403$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.09 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fake do Biru | 24c | 950$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Fake do Biru | 76c | 828.17$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.76 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked paiN Academy | 11c | 636.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed paiN Academy | 9c | 603.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked paiN Academy | 26c | 416.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.42 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked paiN Academy | 12c | 401.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Fake do Biru | 17c | 400$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked paiN Academy | 19c | 357.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed paiN Academy | 12c | 319.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Fake do Biru | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN Academy | 37c | 203$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…e497backed paiN Academy | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Fake do Biru | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Fake do Biru | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Fake do Biru | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Fake do Biru | 17c | 200$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked paiN Academy | 52c | 193.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…e502backed paiN Academy | 15c | 187.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed paiN Academy | 28c | 168$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed paiN Academy | 33c | 166.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed paiN Academy | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked paiN Academy | 19c | 155.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fake do Biru | 71c | 144.3$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fake do Biru | 77c | 136.49$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed paiN Academy | 19c | 135.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Fake do Biru | 12c | 132$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +7.0wins | +0.27per pick | 15cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Fake do Biru | 19c | 128.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.02 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked paiN Academy | 27c | 127.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked paiN Academy | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Academy | 26c | 122.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Fake do Biru | 57c | 121.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Fake do Biru | 21c | 120$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Fake do Biru | 21c | 120$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Fake do Biru | 21c | 120$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Fake do Biru | 27c | 111$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked paiN Academy | 18c | 108.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Fake do Biru | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Fake do Biru | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Fake do Biru | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed paiN Academy | 23c | 96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed paiN Academy | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked paiN Academy | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…107fbacked paiN Academy | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed Fake do Biru | 70c | 71.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…e457backed paiN Academy | 15c | 67.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…0252backed Fake do Biru | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…f9f1backed paiN Academy | 28c | 56.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed paiN Academy | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Fake do Biru | 58c | 34.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Fake do Biru | 71c | 27.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Fake do Biru | 75c | 25.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fake do Biru | 77c | 25.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed Fake do Biru | 80c | 22.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Fake do Biru | 66c | 15.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 PlayoffspaiN Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy - Map 1 WinnerpaiN Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.