CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f270ea7fb51b9d49a44d8bf0c56a3f26f31bc977b3bf7290ea325026e98e8fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Academyof Fake do Biru, paiN Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked paiN Academy | 40c | 5,204$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,096.45 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fake do Biru | 68c | 2,150$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.67 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fake do Biru | 77c | 1,418$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.63 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Fake do Biru | 6c | 1,128$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Fake do Biru | 79c | 1,119$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.05 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed paiN Academy | 22c | 1,000$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fake do Biru | 24c | 973.45$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.97 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Fake do Biru | 55c | 654.74$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.96 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked paiN Academy | 63c | 526.47$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.58 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked paiN Academy | 70c | 436.92$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.34 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Academy | 66c | 415.7$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Fake do Biru | 38c | 350$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fake do Biru | 29c | 291.29$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.23 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd731…64a6backed Fake do Biru | 32c | 253.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Fake do Biru | 7c | 210$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Fake do Biru | 24c | 182.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked paiN Academy | 73c | 181.01$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fake do Biru | 21c | 172.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked paiN Academy | 74c | 158.47$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fake do Biru | 9c | 151$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…57ecbacked paiN Academy | 21c | 139.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.05 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Fake do Biru | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Fake do Biru | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN Academy | 72c | 115.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Fake do Biru | 30c | 111.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Fake do Biru | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fake do Biru | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed paiN Academy | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed paiN Academy | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fake do Biru | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed paiN Academy | 77c | 57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed paiN Academy | 77c | 38.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked paiN Academy | 39c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fake do Biru | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed paiN Academy | 72c | 13.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 PlayoffspaiN Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy - Map 2 WinnerFake do Biru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.