Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2eff68d8b60abc32425e5b4a56cc238021d34260913618b72839eb5b2f47e76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37be…5a65backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 54c | 618.46$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.51 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 33c | 346.46$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked No | 66c | 317.67$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 42c | 306.37$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.46 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 17c | 273$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…45b3backed Yes | 48c | 242$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 18c | 226$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 65c | 222.75$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 59c | 193.06$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828b…87a6backed Yes | 30c | 187.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 13c | 184$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41aa…9e8cbacked Yes | 6c | 165$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 607 | 3.3%20 W · 587 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 51c | 161.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 20c | 160.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 20c | 155$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 39c | 152.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 47c | 149.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 23c | 145.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…a0babacked No | 59c | 134.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 55c | 127.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…8dcbbacked Yes | 38c | 121.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…3a35backed Yes | 50c | 113.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 39c | 110.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…21f4backed No | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed No | 70c | 96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…99b9backed Yes | 45c | 95.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 41c | 93.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 48c | 93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 39c | 92.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 42c | 92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 64c | 90.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 54c | 82.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 38c | 81.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c8…b823backed No | 48c | 72.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 40c | 69.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 35c | 68.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…33b5backed No | 66c | 66.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 26c | 65.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1bc5backed No | 61c | 65.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 56c | 65.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2b…bf2abacked No | 77c | 64.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 55c | 63.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 31c | 59.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 43c | 57.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 52c | 53.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a31…335fbacked No | 70c | 52.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…e339backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 44c | 49.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 39c | 49.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 56c | 47.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 40c | 45.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed Yes | 40c | 40.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…4ca0backed Yes | 46c | 39.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3288…b8cebacked Yes | 33c | 38.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…65c6backed Yes | 32c | 37.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e1…77debacked Yes | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed Yes | 44c | 35.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 51c | 34.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…ae48backed No | 61c | 32.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +22.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 58c | 32.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…06fbbacked No | 59c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…3edabacked No | 55c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 188 | 78.2%147 W · 41 L | +19.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 54c | 27.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb2…ad6fbacked Yes | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 163 | 24.5%40 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 52c | 23.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…75a9backed No | 64c | 22.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 217 | 22.6%49 W · 168 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7603…2276backed No | 46c | 22.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 146 | 74.7%109 W · 37 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…603fbacked No | 56c | 22.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…57f6backed No | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 277 | 69%191 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 57c | 19.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63f…a744backed No | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…8262backed No | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.78 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on May 31?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.