Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23d7ddc6c98b89c58d8b9ccd20fc76319dcc9e301f5593833fc27bf8c53f61e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71d0…b73abacked No | 69c | 702.8$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.87 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 22c | 584.24$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.55 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 57c | 400.39$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.22 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 30c | 357.79$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.52 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f8…1a89backed No | 37c | 275.9$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 62c | 241.76$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 77c | 217.54$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 75c | 215.64$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.03 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 36c | 211.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 44c | 203.82$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.78 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed No | 77c | 202.27$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.84 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 54c | 193.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 25c | 183.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fe…43a7backed Yes | 30c | 179$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 43c | 174.54$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 65c | 159$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 17c | 156.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.1 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 47c | 154.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 30c | 143.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…2155backed Yes | 24c | 140.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 55c | 133.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d6…64fbbacked No | 53c | 127.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 210 | 68.6%144 W · 66 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 30c | 113.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 34c | 109.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 64c | 97.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 39c | 93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 69c | 90.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 21c | 82.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 34c | 81.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 29c | 80.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 37c | 79.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 19c | 78.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a6…ff0bbacked No | 72c | 78.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d48…ba3cbacked Yes | 44c | 76.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 33c | 75.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…6424backed Yes | 77c | 68.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 74c | 68.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 54c | 67.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 182 | 35.2%64 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…ee11backed Yes | 30c | 66.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 51c | 65.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 50c | 65.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 40c | 64.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 65c | 64.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 51c | 64.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed Yes | 58c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 37c | 62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 23c | 57.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 53.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 38c | 53.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 57c | 53.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…7429backed Yes | 41c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 37c | 50.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…3edabacked Yes | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 50c | 47.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 32c | 44.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 26c | 41.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 41c | 41.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 40c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 62c | 39.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43df…8d83backed No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 52c | 37.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 63c | 35.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4089…e7b2backed Yes | 32c | 34.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…a35dbacked Yes | 49c | 33.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 59c | 31.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 59c | 28.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…9379backed Yes | 41c | 27.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcb…bf61backed No | 74c | 27.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 69c | 26.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1d7bbacked Yes | 39c | 26.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 57c | 24.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be9…446ebacked Yes | 45c | 24.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 51c | 23.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…3257backed No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 66c | 22.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…860ebacked No | 57c | 22.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaa…875abacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 65c | 19.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…fdebbacked No | 79c | 19.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…99b9backed No | 58c | 19.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 69c | 18.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x746d…2db5backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 79c | 15.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…7a23backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 84.8%28 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 79cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.