Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fba72f1a8bbd36dc88fd03406708effd2c96ea3a045f9fbeb1399d6aea62128
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 59c | 707.43$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.78 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 35c | 636.64$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.48 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 40c | 608.23$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.54 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 48c | 492.76$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.28 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 43c | 297.89$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.09 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…2e64backed No | 61c | 290.89$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.53 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 57c | 264.93$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.39 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 66c | 222.53$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 67c | 217.81$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 31c | 205.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 42c | 192.35$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 39c | 170$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 35c | 166.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 61c | 158.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 44c | 156.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 49c | 154.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 46c | 150.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed Yes | 35c | 148$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 42c | 122.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 42c | 120.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 56c | 107.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 52c | 107.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 44c | 107$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 45c | 99.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…62e0backed No | 51c | 97.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 64c | 91.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 54c | 88.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 42c | 83.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 59c | 81.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 31c | 81.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 57c | 79.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 29c | 69.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed Yes | 38c | 68.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…9f36backed No | 65c | 67.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 54c | 65.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 37c | 63.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 30c | 62.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 40c | 61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 42c | 60.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…7f34backed No | 66c | 60.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 39c | 59.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 40c | 59.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 50c | 59.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…ee11backed No | 58c | 55.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…7429backed Yes | 36c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 61c | 50.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…487ebacked Yes | 40c | 50.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2a…967bbacked Yes | 40c | 50.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked No | 59c | 49.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 60c | 47.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 41c | 46.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…7b51backed Yes | 53c | 45.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 62c | 42.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 182 | 35.2%64 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 55c | 39.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 36c | 38.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…c0a7backed No | 64c | 35.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 61c | 32.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 30.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…65bbbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…9b60backed No | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 159 | 15.7%25 W · 134 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 48c | 28.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 50c | 28.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 50c | 28.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 65c | 28.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 40c | 27.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…edf3backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1d7bbacked Yes | 52c | 26.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 46c | 26.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 57c | 26.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a9…4182backed No | 52c | 23.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…b752backed No | 63c | 23.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 66c | 22.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 66c | 22.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…1fd8backed Yes | 57c | 22.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…3666backed No | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaa…875abacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 19.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.