Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb17e4688315a8c2e8392477e4e0e33f7543520b73350cf25064c6736161561cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7231…5afebacked Yes | 14c | 682.14$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 14c | 457.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed Yes | 9c | 438$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 313 | 19.2%60 W · 253 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 15c | 432.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 12c | 349.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 346.76$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 16c | 341.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 74c | 313.77$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 76c | 282.5$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…a351backed Yes | 41c | 246.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 78c | 235.61$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…b752backed Yes | 15c | 202.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 14c | 199.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 12c | 186.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked Yes | 30c | 184.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…3053backed Yes | 7c | 169.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 11c | 159.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 15c | 155.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b6…0d76backed Yes | 18c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9840backed Yes | 15c | 145.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 69c | 139.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 12c | 138.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cb…4629backed Yes | 15c | 137.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 13c | 135.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 14c | 134.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed Yes | 16c | 131.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 18c | 106.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 72c | 105.35$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…48bdbacked Yes | 26c | 105.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 78c | 102.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…c1e6backed Yes | 16c | 101.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…5645backed Yes | 20c | 101.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…5926backed Yes | 15c | 100.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 42c | 98.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 97.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 11c | 94.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…94e5backed Yes | 15c | 92.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -57%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 78c | 86.28$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 77c | 85.29$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…ddfbbacked Yes | 20c | 80.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01eb…b04abacked Yes | 29c | 79.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 58c | 76.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked No | 66c | 75.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…2c6bbacked Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 188 | 14.4%27 W · 161 L | -14.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 18c | 74.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 31c | 71.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 22c | 70.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 16c | 70.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…f4f2backed Yes | 38c | 69.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 79c | 67.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 27c | 64.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fa…4780backed Yes | 16c | 64.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 72c | 60.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3a…08d7backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…4fefbacked Yes | 43c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…46d5backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 69c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 26c | 45.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 29c | 44.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 71c | 41.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…9125backed No | 74c | 41.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 33c | 40.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 69c | 37.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 80c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 79c | 32.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 70c | 30.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791f…c354backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 42c | 29.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…3384backed No | 69c | 28.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 282 | 70.2%198 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…985abacked Yes | 45c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 74c | 23.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…6083backed No | 80c | 23.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 69c | 21.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…9bcfbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 74cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…99b9backed No | 64c | 19.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 76c | 14.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.