Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f70c95803671826aaa5781e296ab7f38f3956b95b8154df086ebdbcaebf7b71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c9c…5da9backed No | 3c | 1,045$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 64c | 842.14$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.34 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 42c | 420.06$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.41 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 79c | 396.79$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed No | 32c | 311.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 22c | 274.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 26c | 266.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c95…8188backed No | 34c | 262.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +359.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 19c | 224$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 22c | 202.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.01 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 35c | 200.03$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.03 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 14c | 192.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…4ff7backed No | 78c | 182$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 141 | 68.1%96 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 77c | 170.2$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 37c | 168$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 22c | 157.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 32c | 150.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.65 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 34c | 149.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 149.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 63c | 146.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 18c | 137.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…8dcbbacked Yes | 75c | 137.1$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 43c | 121.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 13c | 118.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…4906backed Yes | 57c | 104.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 135 | 88.1%119 W · 16 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 32c | 100.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a6…ff0bbacked No | 74c | 96.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 67c | 95.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…65d5backed No | 23c | 86.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 67c | 83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 29c | 81.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 30c | 72.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 18c | 70.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 78c | 70.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 55c | 69.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52e…8f98backed No | 73c | 64.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -7.2wins | -0.28per pick | 66cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 66c | 63.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 26c | 57.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 65c | 53.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 67c | 52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…ab1abacked No | 77c | 51.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 254 | 66.9%170 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…a64abacked No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 188 | 62.8%118 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bb…7e81backed No | 76c | 51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…3b52backed Yes | 31c | 50.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 59c | 40.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed Yes | 33c | 38.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 69c | 38.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 72c | 38.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb830…2ff3backed No | 69c | 38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…9c5bbacked Yes | 38c | 33.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed No | 63c | 32.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 31c | 32.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…d242backed Yes | 76c | 31.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 55c | 30.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…e559backed No | 67c | 29.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…99b9backed No | 63c | 29.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 71c | 28.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 71c | 27.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…3edabacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 57c | 25.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 43c | 24.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11a9…4182backed No | 59c | 22.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a84…0340backed Yes | 76c | 22.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…c0a7backed No | 74c | 22.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 70c | 21.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 67c | 21.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 60c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 69c | 19.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 73c | 18.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 66c | 17.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 68c | 14.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb040…ef71backed No | 72c | 14.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.