Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b841c5a8624202a2b4b6d36dd26c4d802b0606f83bfaa55efbdf7158a6883ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,197$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…b296backed Yes | 1c | 4,865$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,161$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed Yes | 0c | 2,600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 27c | 420.36$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 24c | 222.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 50c | 202.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 34c | 200.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 63c | 184$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes | 37c | 170.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 16c | 165.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3a…d3e3backed No | 64c | 154.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 57 | 86%49 W · 8 L | +11.2wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 152.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 73c | 143.07$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 27c | 140.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked No | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed No | 63c | 113.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 26c | 112.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…e269backed Yes | 50c | 109.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 29c | 102.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 27c | 93.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb144…2c8cbacked Yes | 31c | 81.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 77c | 80.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 70c | 78.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 73c | 77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 69c | 76.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 29c | 75.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 75c | 74.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 75c | 73.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 73c | 67.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 56c | 67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed No | 70c | 66.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 63c | 65.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…fdebbacked Yes | 25c | 63.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 61c | 62.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 60.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed No | 74c | 59.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 42c | 57.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…3884backed Yes | 29c | 52.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…31b5backed No | 48c | 51.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 72c | 51.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 63c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…3b52backed Yes | 55c | 49.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 32c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 33c | 47.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 62c | 47.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 48c | 47.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 53c | 46.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52e…8f98backed No | 58c | 46.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -7.2wins | -0.28per pick | 66cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 72c | 45.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…8dcbbacked Yes | 37c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2c…0854backed No | 65c | 43.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 72c | 42.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 53c | 38.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb830…2ff3backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 76c | 36.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984e…4ba0backed Yes | 37c | 35.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf279…202cbacked No | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…ff90backed Yes | 36c | 31.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 240 | 53.3%128 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 69c | 24.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed No | 76c | 23.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 56c | 21.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47cf…5732backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 69c | 20.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…7d50backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…c0a7backed No | 72c | 19.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…8c1bbacked No | 77c | 19.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 72c | 19.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 80c | 19.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…99b9backed No | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 74c | 17.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b19…bae5backed No | 65c | 16.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 70c | 16.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.