Australian A League · resolved market
Auckland FC vs. Macarthur FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36d734f44b04ec0267676ff34586bc23debe26e86496d4e6f35d4dcac7869bca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,081 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dfe…4feebacked Yes | 60c | 441$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…2d11backed No | 40c | 385.65$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 25c | 325.65$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 58c | 237.32$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 196.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 30c | 174.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…c65dbacked Yes | 69c | 150$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 61.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed Yes | 61c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 48c | 31.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 59c | 24.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb9…0f15backed Yes | 44c | 23.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 37cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Auckland FC vs. Macarthur FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Auckland FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Auckland FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Auckland FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Macarthur FC won
- Spread: Macarthur FC (-1.5)Auckland FC won
- Spread: Macarthur FC (-2.5)Auckland FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.