Australian A League · resolved market
Auckland FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73fccd6739dae9bdd933fc7719633903b6eb77ee717f5831b6c58bf60138e5f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Over | 40c | 170,291$67,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,912.01 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 38,976$23,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,493.76 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 59c | 24,890$14,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,198.93 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 60c | 17,924$10,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,247.32 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 61c | 15,988$9,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,281.5 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 62c | 12,303$7,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,715.26 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 60c | 7,273$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.51 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 5,690$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.47 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 59c | 5,482$3,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d7…5866backed Under | 61c | 5,088$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Under | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf66b…e6c2backed Over | 41c | 2,917$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 60c | 2,417$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…873cbacked Under | 60c | 2,378$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 60c | 2,250$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 59c | 1,850$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 61c | 1,788$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed Under | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 1,499$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.23 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 61c | 1,275$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 60c | 890$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.15 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 61c | 757.85$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.32 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 61c | 470$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…3ad1backed Over | 45c | 404$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 54c | 373.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.81 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Under | 59c | 342.91$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.82 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 60c | 339.67$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.91 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 61c | 262.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…caeebacked Under | 46c | 262$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 40c | 255$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 59c | 254.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.23 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 60c | 252.93$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.76 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 60c | 233.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 61c | 175$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 61c | 175$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 61c | 163.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 58c | 160.47$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 61c | 142.34$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 60c | 126.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 61c | 125$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 61c | 125$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 61c | 125$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Under | 61c | 122$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…dbc9backed Over | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1c…db37backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 66c | 110$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 61c | 109$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 61c | 105$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 55c | 97.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 37c | 82.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 38c | 81.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 78.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Under | 60c | 73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Under | 60c | 66.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Auckland FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Auckland FC vs. Macarthur FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Auckland FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Auckland FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Auckland FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Macarthur FC won
- Spread: Macarthur FC (-1.5)Auckland FC won
- Spread: Macarthur FC (-2.5)Auckland FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.