Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Strasbourg reach the UEFA Conference League final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3222fb5f708997bab8c9dac4b9d5dd72364a8c92f2155130675f1eba2b68ba05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes | 41c | 1,293$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…c4eebacked Yes | 42c | 552.51$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 413.19$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.09 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 6c | 388.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 59c | 382.75$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.08 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 58c | 214.43$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.06 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 214.14$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…8858backed Yes | 41c | 204.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 40c | 173.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…abc6backed Yes | 42c | 171.69$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 48c | 95.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e37…b9d9backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…32a4backed No | 42c | 43.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…c27dbacked Yes | 42c | 39.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed No | 60c | 33.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Strasbourg reach the UEFA Conference League final?this page
- Will Crystal Palace reach the UEFA Conference League final?Yes won
- Will Rayo Vallecano reach the UEFA Conference League final?Yes won
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk reach the UEFA Conference League final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.