Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3ab7dda78bb237bfec7f2a30fc7d30ed0819d3ff7d11627f4c2b0eee425902e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 21c | 1,937$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 954.36$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.1 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 44c | 667.87$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed No | 56c | 505.92$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.32 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 44c | 491.71$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.36 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 64c | 485.02$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.67 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 45c | 462.87$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.37 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 47c | 385.5$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.86 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 43c | 336.91$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.04 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 43c | 298.18$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.96 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed No | 32c | 254.77$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 42c | 233.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 211.52$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 48c | 172.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.72 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 73c | 135.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 43c | 117.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 73c | 115.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 72c | 97.34$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 93.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 44c | 83.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 27c | 75.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 67c | 73.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 67c | 73.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 67c | 73.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 67c | 73.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 56c | 71.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked No | 35c | 69.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 66c | 68.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 66c | 68.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 43c | 66.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 63.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 73c | 62.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 72c | 57.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed No | 40c | 47.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 44c | 47.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 44c | 43.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 29c | 42.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 72c | 37.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 30.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 44c | 29.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 80c | 28.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7125…a5aabacked Yes | 69c | 28.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…7adfbacked No | 56c | 24.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be5…b512backed Yes | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?No won
- Will Kayserispor win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.