Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67d99a93eaf318191c889d0a776e268ae5854deda0c2a7ff76f22f7eaf9897ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 72c | 2,552$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.51 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 1,870$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.07 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 23c | 1,639$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.04 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,136$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.05 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 71c | 1,109$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.71 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 5c | 578.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 22c | 504.13$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.82 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 28c | 486.17$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.13 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 413.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 28c | 306.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.95 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 28c | 240.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 238.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 29c | 213.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.84 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 196.42$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…7800backed No | 78c | 110.03$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 102.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 23c | 95.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 72c | 77.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 29c | 65.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 78c | 60.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 78c | 60.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 78c | 60.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 78c | 60.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 23c | 57.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 78c | 53.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 78c | 50.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 78c | 50.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 78c | 50.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 79c | 40.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 29c | 36.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 30.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?this page
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
- Will Kayserispor win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.