Golf · resolved market
Will Wyndham Clark lead the 2026 U.S. Open following the third round?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a3085c342d0d1862e2258cf7d0acddcb1b3300951b232721252618265f1c2f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x720e…17b0backed Yes | 74c | 1,143$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 41c | 427$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 22c | 273$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 56c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 43c | 198$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 76c | 143.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 43c | 121.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 22c | 117.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 38c | 52.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…15a0backed No | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…6a8ebacked No | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…6bb0backed Yes | 56c | 44.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…273ebacked Yes | 60c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20b…390bbacked Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…def5backed Yes | 57c | 38.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 37c | 37.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 68c | 37.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed No | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…e17fbacked Yes | 60c | 30.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed No | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…60e0backed No | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 50c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wyndham Clark lead the 2026 U.S. Open following the third round?this page
- Will Dustin Johnson lead the 2026 U.S. Open following the third round?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy lead the 2026 U.S. Open following the third round?No won
- Will Xander Schauffele lead the 2026 U.S. Open following the third round?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.