MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96ebdf8f3f121af44fe463aeb9dbae93d2dbca3d354e1d09e0be42616db644d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 41,183$19,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,157.34 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 56c | 37,351$20,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,916.57 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Over | 52c | 18,035$9,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,435.57 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 53c | 13,188$6,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,983.57 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 44c | 9,982$4,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,545.58 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 52c | 9,911$5,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,124.65 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 44c | 7,777$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,355.12 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 49c | 2,297$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.67 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 47c | 2,209$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.3 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 2,180$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 45c | 1,816$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.58 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 1,797$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.35 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 1,680$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,510$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.94 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 54c | 1,506$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.45 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 1,502$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.15 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 44c | 1,437$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.68 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 1,156$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.23 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 51c | 1,111$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.61 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 999.95$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.97 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 48c | 860.65$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.54 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Under | 46c | 775$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.25 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 749.98$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 44c | 723.79$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.32 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 53c | 688.89$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.56 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 683.37$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.97 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…68f7backed Under | 55c | 575.26$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.67 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Under | 45c | 500$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 52c | 495.41$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.84 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 470$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.1 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Over | 53c | 430.71$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.19 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 50c | 396$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 365$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 36c | 353$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 347$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.62 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 46c | 317.67$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.98 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 49c | 301.02$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 45c | 288.76$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.49 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Over | 52c | 245.21$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.45 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 47c | 215$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 47c | 212.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 45c | 212$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51fdbacked Over | 55c | 194.55$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 46c | 194.24$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 56c | 192.86$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 44c | 166$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 162.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 44c | 161.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 150.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked Over | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Under | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 53c | 111.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 52c | 107.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 52c | 99.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 85.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 55c | 74.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 50c | 69.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Under | 48c | 69.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 49c | 68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 43c | 66.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 47c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 57c | 62.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…43dabacked Over | 54c | 58.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 47c | 56.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 47c | 55.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 46c | 54.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 45c | 49.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Over | 52c | 41.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de2…cd3fbacked Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Under | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…6659backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 62c | 33.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9444…048ebacked Over | 52c | 28.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 48c | 27.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…1068backed Under | 43c | 25.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…21f5backed Over | 52c | 25.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 55c | 25.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Under | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…622fbacked Over | 55c | 23.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 52c | 22.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5this page
- Athletics vs. San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants won
- Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Under won
- Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Under won
- Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. San Francisco GiantsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.