MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40122d12540f9fea9786613b7ee7139e0bc4d2e8cd44d1ac6ef92d2ad0314063
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 43c | 2,359$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.45 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under | 77c | 1,988$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 31c | 1,485$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.55 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 669.98$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.54 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 507.02$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…3d3ebacked Under | 44c | 307.27$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +183.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 59c | 286.06$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 38c | 202.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Over | 73c | 184.93$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 125 | 75.2%94 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 55c | 162$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 67c | 152.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 140.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 67c | 140.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51fdbacked Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 29c | 85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 40c | 79.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 72c | 53.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 28c | 47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8382…962bbacked Over | 72c | 35.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.49per pick | 66cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6f…44e9backed Over | 72c | 33.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed9c…7854backed Over | 72c | 30.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…5c16backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x290b…394abacked Over | 72c | 29.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4da…3261backed Over | 72c | 29.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 71c | 29.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…1f81backed Over | 72c | 28.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b00…64a2backed Over | 72c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…3f71backed Over | 72c | 27.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…85a8backed Over | 72c | 27.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…23fabacked Over | 72c | 27.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…f779backed Over | 72c | 27.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…1c52backed Over | 72c | 26.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…0366backed Over | 72c | 26.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dc…7945backed Over | 72c | 26.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…2ad0backed Over | 72c | 26.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…fa4bbacked Over | 72c | 26.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…b036backed Over | 72c | 26.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…3732backed Over | 72c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…4d66backed Over | 72c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14e…74f1backed Over | 72c | 25.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b41…c98abacked Over | 72c | 25.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…90e5backed Over | 72c | 25.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 67cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…8194backed Over | 72c | 25.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5c…0380backed Over | 72c | 25.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…24a8backed Over | 72c | 25.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc52…5bd3backed Over | 72c | 25.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…6da5backed Over | 72c | 24.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Under | 55c | 24.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf723…7835backed Over | 72c | 24.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…35a1backed Over | 72c | 24.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…594cbacked Over | 72c | 24.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…9f54backed Over | 72c | 23.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…f6f5backed Over | 72c | 23.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd15…d9c0backed Over | 72c | 23.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f7…5f39backed Over | 72c | 23.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…8698backed Over | 72c | 23.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…66c0backed Over | 72c | 23.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b5…43f1backed Over | 72c | 23.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea4e…aceabacked Over | 72c | 22.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…c3b7backed Over | 72c | 22.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x862c…72a1backed Over | 72c | 22.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…e320backed Over | 72c | 22.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…aa45backed Over | 72c | 21.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…174bbacked Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…6d30backed Over | 72c | 20.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…77d2backed Over | 72c | 20.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…40adbacked Over | 72c | 20.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…f5d9backed Over | 72c | 20.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…adc3backed Over | 72c | 19.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2355…572dbacked Over | 72c | 19.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…8220backed Over | 72c | 18.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…c729backed Over | 72c | 18.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…add7backed Over | 72c | 17.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…6b74backed Over | 72c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5this page
- Athletics vs. San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants won
- Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Under won
- Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. San Francisco GiantsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.