Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Atmane (-1.5) vs Kokkinakis (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a687bfa0111ff779cbbcd676d3d61139a4a50ae1657a2db8e76bd5bb44c7746
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kokkinakisof Atmane, Kokkinakis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Atmane | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Kokkinakis | 40c | 1,322$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.19 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kokkinakis | 38c | 1,054$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.31 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Kokkinakis | 39c | 999.99$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.03 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Atmane | 61c | 792.97$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Atmane | 60c | 501.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Atmane | 62c | 484.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Kokkinakis | 38c | 391$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.42 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…692abacked Atmane | 61c | 327.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Atmane | 62c | 306.45$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kokkinakis | 40c | 266.67$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9b…aff7backed Atmane | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 51cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kokkinakis | 55c | 222.45$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Kokkinakis | 39c | 219.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Atmane | 55c | 203.48$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Kokkinakis | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Atmane | 35c | 178$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kokkinakis | 46c | 168.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.21 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Atmane | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Kokkinakis | 35c | 157.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Atmane | 60c | 154.85$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Atmane | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Kokkinakis | 40c | 147.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Atmane | 54c | 136.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Kokkinakis | 45c | 100.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Atmane | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Atmane | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Kokkinakis | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Kokkinakis | 39c | 83.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…4168backed Atmane | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Kokkinakis | 45c | 73.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Kokkinakis | 54c | 71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Kokkinakis | 52c | 49.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Atmane | 54c | 47.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Kokkinakis | 44c | 35.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked Atmane | 37c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Atmane | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Atmane (-1.5) vs Kokkinakis (+1.5)this page
- Kokkinakis vs. Atmane: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence AtmaneThanasi Kokkinakis won
- Set 1 Winner: Kokkinakis vs AtmaneAtmane won
- Set Handicap: Atmane (-2.5) vs Kokkinakis (+2.5)Kokkinakis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.