Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zheng (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafa07ffea0760da2dc2b347fcaca749a0efcb89d224c64048b3ff8073226b0aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chwalinskaof Zheng, Chwalinska
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Chwalinska | 55c | 4,188$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.5 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Zheng | 45c | 3,087$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.41 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Chwalinska | 52c | 1,886$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.28 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chwalinska | 49c | 1,759$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.79 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Chwalinska | 50c | 1,119$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.36 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Zheng | 51c | 1,100$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Chwalinska | 49c | 526.56$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.56 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Zheng | 51c | 484.06$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.83 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Zheng | 50c | 397.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chwalinska | 49c | 357$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.07 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Zheng | 51c | 276.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.26 | 389 | 52.2%203 W · 186 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Chwalinska | 53c | 232.03$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…bf27backed Zheng | 50c | 216$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Zheng | 51c | 202.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Chwalinska | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…e552backed Zheng | 52c | 178.85$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Zheng | 49c | 177.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Zheng | 50c | 167$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Zheng | 50c | 159$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…d3fdbacked Chwalinska | 49c | 155.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Chwalinska | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Zheng | 51c | 139$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Chwalinska | 50c | 133.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Zheng | 48c | 119.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Zheng | 48c | 117$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…42c1backed Zheng | 51c | 112$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chwalinska | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Chwalinska | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Chwalinska | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Chwalinska | 50c | 99.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Zheng | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chwalinska | 62c | 91.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…409ebacked Zheng | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Chwalinska | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Chwalinska | 51c | 79.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Chwalinska | 50c | 78.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…4874backed Zheng | 48c | 71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…439ebacked Zheng | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Chwalinska | 50c | 64.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Zheng | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Chwalinska | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…eae0backed Zheng | 51c | 57.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -5.5wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Chwalinska | 51c | 54.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Chwalinska | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Zheng | 47c | 41.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Chwalinska | 50c | 36.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked Zheng | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Zheng | 52c | 28.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe7…24a0backed Zheng | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…015fbacked Zheng | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Chwalinska | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 253 | 66.8%169 W · 84 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Chwalinska | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Zheng | 52c | 19.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -13.4wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zheng (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)this page
- Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen ZhengMaja Chwalinska won
- Set 1 Winner: Chwalinska vs ZhengChwalinska won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.