Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Chwalinska vs Zheng
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x675188d5ce4fe6130e0ed7cc8f92868df6e38f143e1cdc400a53be3c7db4493b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chwalinskaof Chwalinska, Zheng
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Zheng | 66c | 2,655$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chwalinska | 32c | 999.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.19 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chwalinska | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Chwalinska | 32c | 353.13$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.13 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chwalinska | 41c | 351.53$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb804…cd66backed Zheng | 32c | 280.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 154 | 16.2%25 W · 129 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Chwalinska | 32c | 249.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chwalinska | 31c | 190.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.92 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chwalinska | 37c | 152.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Zheng | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Zheng | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Chwalinska | 40c | 125.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chwalinska | 68c | 89.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Chwalinska | 36c | 70.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Chwalinska | 39c | 66.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Chwalinska | 67c | 54.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Zheng | 40c | 53.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…80a4backed Chwalinska | 33c | 43.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zheng | 43c | 37.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chwalinska | 68c | 28.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Zheng | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…cd21backed Zheng | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 550 | 59.1%325 W · 225 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Chwalinska vs Zhengthis page
- Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen ZhengMaja Chwalinska won
- Set Handicap: Zheng (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)Chwalinska won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.