MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd941ad423c0c98491ce724a050ca03303198ceaa9bd6a8a9858620fe8641a201
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 44c | 84,573$37,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,361.45 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 59,494$31,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,721.35 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 57c | 15,149$8,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,634.93 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 14,113$7,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,759.78 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 67c | 5,415$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.82 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 43c | 4,860$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.42 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 50c | 4,503$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.95 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 4,194$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.6 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 2,977$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.9 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 56c | 2,708$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.5 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 54c | 2,302$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.44 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 56c | 862$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.34 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 859.16$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.13 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 55c | 824.47$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.28 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 56c | 646.93$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.28 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 69c | 579$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.49 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 34c | 495.72$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.73 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 56c | 352.91$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.63 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 4c | 311.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.85 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 281.18$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.87 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 56c | 274.55$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.75 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 67c | 259$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 32c | 245.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 56c | 240$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 236.25$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 42c | 207.77$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.47 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 42c | 202$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked Under | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 28c | 159.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Under | 44c | 158.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 68c | 144.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 795 | 55.6%442 W · 353 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 44c | 137.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 48c | 135.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 42c | 115.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 45c | 111.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Under | 55c | 102.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 44c | 100.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 56c | 95.09$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 765 | 58%444 W · 321 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Under | 57c | 88.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Over | 67c | 81.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 67c | 73.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Over | 67c | 72.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 69c | 71.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Under | 44c | 68.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117b…f017backed Under | 48c | 68.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 66.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 33c | 59.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Over | 67c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 67c | 55.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 67c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…40b4backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 51c | 49.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f33…addcbacked Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 60c | 44.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Over | 51c | 43.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 70c | 43.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 42.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 68c | 38.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 60c | 33.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 56c | 31.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de2…cd3fbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 56c | 28.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked Over | 67c | 27.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd584…2187backed Under | 54c | 26.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 63c | 24.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed Over | 67c | 22.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 66c | 20.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 392 | 53.6%210 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…f0e0backed Over | 67c | 19.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 62c | 18.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…36dfbacked Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked Over | 65c | 16.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 199 | 60.3%120 W · 79 L | +21.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…a6b4backed Over | 66c | 15.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay RaysKansas City Royals won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.