TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kansas City Royalsof Tampa Bay Rays, Kansas City Royals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,852
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,852 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a26…937ebacked Kansas City Royals69c21,769$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,769.2261351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals58c10,124$5,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,240.2311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays42c4,895$2,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055.718,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays36c2,736$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.3912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays31c1,755$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.2310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Tampa Bay Rays45c1,636$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.452839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays45c1,613$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.154,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals55c1,569$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.543,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6752,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals55c951.98$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.396,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Tampa Bay Rays45c777.78$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507642.1%32 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Kansas City Royals54c682.67$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.031,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Tampa Bay Rays45c543.67$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.6515851.9%82 W · 76 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays44c459.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.420138.8%78 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals59c389.47$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1599,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays32c301.51$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.18,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked Tampa Bay Rays40c297.14$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12023145.5%105 W · 126 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals55c275.69$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.061,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Kansas City Royals63c269.6$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.441,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Tampa Bay Rays29c267.5$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.821,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Tampa Bay Rays45c250.32$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6453644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Kansas City Royals55c249.97$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4932850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked Tampa Bay Rays45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011846.6%55 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals59c201.97$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.696,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Tampa Bay Rays46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7040348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c79…fdf7backed Tampa Bay Rays23c150$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1839…3ad3backed Tampa Bay Rays49c143$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Kansas City Royals55c138.34$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2561450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Tampa Bay Rays47c135.74$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.699543.2%41 W · 54 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays42c116.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.933,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Tampa Bay Rays45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047849%234 W · 244 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Tampa Bay Rays45c106$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.746854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Tampa Bay Rays45c106$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.772154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Kansas City Royals60c100.05$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4329549.8%147 W · 148 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Kansas City Royals55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9454…14e5backed Kansas City Royals56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Kansas City Royals69c96.92$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2774657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kansas City Royals55c94.98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.742,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Kansas City Royals60c93.49$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.152,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Kansas City Royals55c79.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9973849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Kansas City Royals65c76.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.752,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Tampa Bay Rays33c75.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521751.6%112 W · 105 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Kansas City Royals55c70.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.775,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Kansas City Royals56c69.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6446659.7%278 W · 188 L+1.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Kansas City Royals56c60.71$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7147549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Kansas City Royals65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Kansas City Royals51c57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9399447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Tampa Bay Rays46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Tampa Bay Rays42c53.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3340753.3%217 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Kansas City Royals68c50.43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1411949.6%59 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Kansas City Royals70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1516057.5%92 W · 68 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Kansas City Royals55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.517953.1%95 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d6…dd38backed Tampa Bay Rays46c49.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.83742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Tampa Bay Rays42c45.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.056,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Kansas City Royals58c43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0685949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f6…cda7backed Tampa Bay Rays42c40.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.819347.3%44 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Kansas City Royals55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Tampa Bay Rays30c38.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.715,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Kansas City Royals61c38.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000a…6cf7backed Tampa Bay Rays44c38.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7925260.7%153 W · 99 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd5b…3b06backed Tampa Bay Rays34c36.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.418556.5%48 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Kansas City Royals55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3631250%156 W · 156 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Tampa Bay Rays42c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.71,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Tampa Bay Rays37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.177836%280 W · 498 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Tampa Bay Rays45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.581651.8%423 W · 393 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Tampa Bay Rays45c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.352,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Tampa Bay Rays42c29.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2424243%104 W · 138 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Kansas City Royals55c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Kansas City Royals55c25.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4589950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Kansas City Royals66c24.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5273949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Kansas City Royals65c23.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0451656.6%292 W · 224 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a9…6f76backed Kansas City Royals61c19.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.424860.4%29 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Kansas City Royals60c18.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.534451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Kansas City Royals55c18.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.191,46463.5%929 W · 535 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Kansas City Royals70c18.06$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.421,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Kansas City Royals70c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.465359.6%389 W · 264 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c25…6bbcbacked Kansas City Royals66c17.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0719759.9%118 W · 79 L+21.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Kansas City Royals67c17.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6579255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.