MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbde4fb8b6f3f87b2778c80b2eeb7d9b3a2ac19a521a89043fba88f435bfc50f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Kansas City Royals, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $223,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 27c | 32,020$8,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,555.92 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 15c | 19,404$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.48 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 17,022$7,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,149.06 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 13,736$10,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.66 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 13,409$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,631.62 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 13,407$7,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,496.78 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 11,852$9,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.32 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…c909backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 11,020$6,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,628.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 7,000$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 6,711$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.54 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 15c | 6,074$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.25 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 5,744$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.55 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 5,632$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.77 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 5,035$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.74 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 4,656$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.56 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 4,130$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.69 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Kansas City Royals | 6c | 4,040$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.92 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Kansas City Royals | 0c | 3,962$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 3,638$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.04 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 3,442$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 3,023$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 2,972$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.62 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4c…bb15backed Kansas City Royals | 3c | 2,719$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 2,123$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.63 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 1,784$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.42 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,719$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.87 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,482$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.41 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,349$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.76 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…b1debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 1,310$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Kansas City Royals | 9c | 1,127$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.42 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -8.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 1,120$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.6 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2df…1198backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,114$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 992.1$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.99 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 960.13$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.94 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 922$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.24 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 896.26$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.39 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Kansas City Royals | 25c | 852.33$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.08 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 720$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals | 7c | 649.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 649.35$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.09 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 78c | 578$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.31 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…3587backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 573.95$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.06 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 476$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kansas City Royals | 14c | 460$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 433$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.76 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 420$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.73 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 420$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 399$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Kansas City Royals | 16c | 394$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 380$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 368.09$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.68 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 351.7$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 346.29$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.66 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 339.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 312.94$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.69 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 311.1$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.66 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Kansas City Royals | 22c | 305.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 302.88$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 299.89$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.95 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 277.58$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.36 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 277.09$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.38 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 258.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 255.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 252.03$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 231$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Kansas City Royals | 14c | 209$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 208.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 200.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…3bc2backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 196$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 184.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 174$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 168.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.91 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 163.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 150.94$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 137.92$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 135.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 134.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 134.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29f…dc4ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 131.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 131.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 129.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 128.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.