MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18c4b4194cfdad3aca388e6dd889aa32bed945321e3def9e309e6e4bd2a9c19b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Over | 50c | 118,477$59,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,238.57 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 21,943$11,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,687.52 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 50c | 12,500$6,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 10,378$5,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,188.83 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Under | 51c | 10,035$5,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,160.78 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 50c | 10,003$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,002.94 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 6,513$3,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256.68 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 46c | 4,189$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.14 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 49c | 3,101$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.32 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 49c | 2,258$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.16 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 1,709$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.57 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 1c | 1,488$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 1,363$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 1,332$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 50c | 1,316$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.8 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 51c | 1,289$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.39 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 822.69$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.5 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 46c | 694.15$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.83 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 49c | 544.65$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.77 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 542.46$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 35c | 484.24$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.86 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 49c | 455$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.05 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 59c | 413.48$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 57c | 404.21$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 391.42$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.71 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 52c | 378.57$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.11 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 50c | 364.54$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.27 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 50c | 316.2$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 52c | 311.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.74 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Under | 46c | 257.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.54 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 46c | 253.48$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 1,013 | 50.3%510 W · 503 L | +51.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under | 46c | 223$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 68c | 216.6$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.08 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 46c | 212$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 47c | 208.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 47c | 208.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 71c | 196.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 47c | 192.72$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 55c | 184.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 22c | 166$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 54c | 140.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 61c | 129.46$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 51c | 128.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Over | 47c | 127.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Under | 57c | 122.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 49c | 119.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 47c | 110.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 46c | 108.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 47c | 104.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 47c | 104.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 50c | 102.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 49c | 99.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 65c | 98.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 54c | 95.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 49c | 83.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 49c | 83.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Under | 46c | 81.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…8a2cbacked Over | 50c | 79.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 52c | 75.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 73.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Under | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…2b11backed Over | 51c | 58.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117b…f017backed Under | 57c | 56.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 31c | 53.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 49c | 50.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…e203backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 25c | 48.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Under | 54c | 46.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Over | 42c | 45.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…28f3backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 44c | 44.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 42.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 59c | 41.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 76c | 37.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 62c | 33.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Under | 64c | 29.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 27 | 92.6%25 W · 2 L | +9.8wins | +0.36per pick | 56cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 51c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…91ccbacked Under | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…e43cbacked Under | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.