Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae59ba73bbfb0e2630cc950c513afa1e536f11a8d52b467282926f91dec3397c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof MOUZ, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $457,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked MOUZ | 49c | 20,953$10,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,309.83 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed MOUZ | 33c | 16,556$5,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,470.18 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ | 35c | 16,075$5,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,697.12 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked MOUZ | 49c | 15,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 12,500$6,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,172.46 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming | 52c | 11,227$5,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,360.78 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed MOUZ | 23c | 9,054$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 7,897$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977.19 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 7,489$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,988.92 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed MOUZ | 49c | 7,315$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.72 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Vici Gaming | 53c | 7,002$3,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,274.43 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ | 17c | 6,555$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.13 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 14c | 5,540$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.57 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked MOUZ | 10c | 5,460$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 4,843$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.89 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Vici Gaming | 77c | 4,744$3,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.95 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 4,578$3,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.75 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 4,538$3,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.03 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Vici Gaming | 76c | 4,099$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.44 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked MOUZ | 37c | 3,868$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.39 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.99 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…2442backed MOUZ | 28c | 3,276$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.8 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed MOUZ | 19c | 3,041$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.23 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889f…c542backed MOUZ | 41c | 2,700$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…7a34backed MOUZ | 12c | 2,605$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.96 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…3624backed MOUZ | 39c | 2,540$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed MOUZ | 55c | 2,363$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.62 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 44c | 2,256$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.36 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed MOUZ | 25c | 2,118$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.58 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked MOUZ | 14c | 2,021$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.46 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 1,875$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.63 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 1,811$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.83 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Vici Gaming | 62c | 1,687$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.94 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 24c | 1,653$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.6 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed MOUZ | 25c | 1,623$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Vici Gaming | 71c | 1,528$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.12 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 1,514$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.69 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ | 35c | 1,502$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.28 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.85 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 1,438$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.47 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked MOUZ | 34c | 1,428$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.6 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ | 59c | 1,411$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.98 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 1,400$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Vici Gaming | 68c | 1,337$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.36 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked MOUZ | 41c | 1,329$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.7 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…4cb9backed MOUZ | 1c | 1,307$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 33c | 1,280$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.72 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,256$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.32 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 1,250$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.05 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 1,198$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.23 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 1,179$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.06 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…0c98backed Vici Gaming | 79c | 1,162$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.03 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked MOUZ | 50c | 1,150$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.5 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked MOUZ | 55c | 1,123$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.16 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.06 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 1,104$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.95 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked MOUZ | 22c | 1,100$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.04 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 1,021$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.6 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked MOUZ | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked MOUZ | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked MOUZ | 39c | 999.99$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ | 24c | 951.6$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.72 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 917.65$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.65 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 856$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed MOUZ | 59c | 852.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked MOUZ | 57c | 847.33$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.8 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0452…843cbacked MOUZ | 12c | 843.76$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked MOUZ | 53c | 842.31$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.12 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed MOUZ | 13c | 799.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 51c | 797.06$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.53 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Vici Gaming | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked MOUZ | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 22c | 648$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed MOUZ | 25c | 644$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.78 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Vici Gaming | 79c | 608.22$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 595.76$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.38 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed MOUZ | 30c | 583.25$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed MOUZ | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed MOUZ | 11c | 571.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed MOUZ | 20c | 528.4$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…f967backed MOUZ | 25c | 505.95$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Vici Gaming | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed MOUZ | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…2085backed MOUZ | 14c | 495$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed MOUZ | 31c | 488.87$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.55 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked MOUZ | 32c | 473.22$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.65 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…f3c8backed MOUZ | 30c | 466.93$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 459.97$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.19 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed MOUZ | 33c | 454.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 450$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed MOUZ | 33c | 449.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 238 | 38.2%91 W · 147 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked MOUZ | 4c | 447.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerVici Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.