Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb400ffa4ba1f7abfe828dc1bcf40a1a4d4fd1e52fb243a23240a98ff0b5071ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof MOUZ, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $300,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vici Gaming | 48c | 27,567$13,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,224.96 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ | 54c | 20,250$10,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,927.29 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 48c | 16,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,699.97 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ | 38c | 14,753$5,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,547.48 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 13,923$7,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,772.32 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 12,994$6,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,653.31 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed MOUZ | 50c | 12,807$6,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,446.93 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ | 60c | 12,580$7,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,493 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 11,578$4,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,735.03 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 10,921$4,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,326.49 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 10,098$4,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,839.6 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed MOUZ | 51c | 9,187$4,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,685.37 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked MOUZ | 54c | 8,700$4,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,707.65 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 8,457$5,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.63 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed MOUZ | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479.98 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 6,383$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.25 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Vici Gaming | 57c | 5,297$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.59 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 4,966$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.15 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed MOUZ | 58c | 4,444$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.52 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed MOUZ | 31c | 4,250$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.99 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 3,992$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.97 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked MOUZ | 55c | 3,827$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.47 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 3,803$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.64 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 3,611$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.45 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed MOUZ | 57c | 3,333$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.8 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vici Gaming | 49c | 3,245$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.55 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked MOUZ | 51c | 3,000$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed MOUZ | 52c | 2,862$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.67 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 2,517$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.56 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 2,319$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.84 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 2,314$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.03 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed MOUZ | 53c | 2,299$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.32 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 2,250$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked MOUZ | 18c | 2,148$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.24 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked MOUZ | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889f…c542backed MOUZ | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 2,000$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.99 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked MOUZ | 59c | 1,989$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.28 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 1,873$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.22 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 1,793$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.78 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ | 56c | 1,785$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.74 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed MOUZ | 2c | 1,700$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,616$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.96 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 1,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed MOUZ | 43c | 1,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked MOUZ | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.99 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 1,416$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.89 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked MOUZ | 51c | 1,358$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.51 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…0c98backed MOUZ | 71c | 1,317$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.43 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.87 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Vici Gaming | 64c | 1,250$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.99 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked MOUZ | 48c | 1,230$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.4 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked MOUZ | 50c | 1,215$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39c…71c4backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,177$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked MOUZ | 20c | 1,100$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.98 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Vici Gaming | 52c | 1,030$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.49 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed MOUZ | 46c | 1,023$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.35 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed MOUZ | 4c | 1,009$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed MOUZ | 65c | 999.99$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.49 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 999.95$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.97 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 974.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.24 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed MOUZ | 50c | 856$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Vici Gaming | 53c | 757.58$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked MOUZ | 43c | 749.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked MOUZ | 27c | 735.12$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.06 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked MOUZ | 69c | 729.55$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.29 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 722.75$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.07 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 709.09$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.09 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked MOUZ | 49c | 699.76$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.88 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 671$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.17 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 657.86$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.86 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Vici Gaming | 67c | 598.84$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked MOUZ | 49c | 571.43$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed MOUZ | 53c | 569$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.52 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 547.99$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.36 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked MOUZ | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 522.76$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.06 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked MOUZ | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked MOUZ | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Vici Gaming | 52c | 477.43$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.9 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked MOUZ | 52c | 471.79$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.33 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 450$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Vici Gaming | 56c | 448.5$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.1 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked MOUZ | 58c | 442.43$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.61 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 436.78$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.78 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed MOUZ | 51c | 434.57$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…21e0backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 423.64$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.24 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed MOUZ | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked MOUZ | 16c | 406.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 403.85$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.85 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…3199backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked MOUZ | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.