Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc99f39fdf01234f80848dbb8698135e2741454cb936722321159ec09c9ba7705
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 5,016$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.67 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 3,613$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.76 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 46c | 2,320$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 67c | 2,251$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 49c | 2,100$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.94 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 47c | 1,489$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.01 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83d…3301backed Under | 79c | 1,105$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Over | 54c | 992.16$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 51c | 953.69$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.38 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 49c | 912$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.12 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 51c | 837.4$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.07 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 56c | 799.99$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 45c | 707$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.85 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 46c | 704$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 49c | 669.78$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.59 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Over | 33c | 560.21$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.87 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b69…dfcabacked Over | 55c | 229.8$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 52c | 197.81$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 56c | 187.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…df78backed Under | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 47c | 147.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 36c | 129.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 51c | 114.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 48c | 114.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Over | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 47c | 108.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Over | 53c | 100.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Under | 50c | 100.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Under | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 51c | 94.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 51c | 90.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 87.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bf…e5d8backed Under | 71c | 83.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 66c | 76.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Under | 49c | 74.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 64.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 48c | 62.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 47c | 62.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 51c | 58.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 49c | 57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 52c | 56.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 51c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 37c | 48.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 47c | 46.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 50c | 45.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…957fbacked Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 52c | 37.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 56c | 36.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 31.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 51c | 29.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 47c | 25.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 51c | 21.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 20.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.