Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b92b852addafcc641f2e4a9886b5489cf29479824b7181a20ebcf0be999db63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 50c | 4,999$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.42 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 2,430$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.77 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 43c | 2,126$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.28 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 2,047$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.67 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 50c | 2,011$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 51c | 1,500$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 53c | 1,410$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.17 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 68c | 1,121$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.28 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 41c | 917.32$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 56c | 720.58$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.06 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 10c | 712.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 656.33$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.93 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 31c | 643.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 71c | 574.99$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.84 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Over | 27c | 499.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 72c | 444.44$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 73c | 417.16$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 10c | 390.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.69 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 24c | 339.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.69 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 38c | 300$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 267.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 76c | 259.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 10c | 173.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.36 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 49c | 169.39$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 9c | 151.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.98 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 118.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d7…1613backed Over | 69c | 108.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…8cf8backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 42c | 89.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 27c | 87.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…b39abacked Under | 48c | 62.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 30c | 60.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over | 46c | 56.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…09d0backed Under | 70c | 54.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 36c | 50.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…2decbacked Over | 74c | 40.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7d…5a4fbacked Over | 52c | 38.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 54c | 35.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…cc31backed Under | 47c | 31.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 49c | 28.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.