Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86221928e5ea83d6c1116a7e5ee926e533529b3e0d3c5005c634a9821eb59783
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stade Brestois 29of Paris Saint-Germain FC, Stade Brestois 29
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 36c | 2,299$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.88 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Stade Brestois 29 | 63c | 1,976$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 38c | 1,754$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.46 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Stade Brestois 29 | 60c | 1,488$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Stade Brestois 29 | 64c | 1,253$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 42c | 357$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…6a2cbacked Stade Brestois 29 | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…d5a3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 40c | 240.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Stade Brestois 29 | 60c | 225$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Stade Brestois 29 | 58c | 202$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…b565backed Stade Brestois 29 | 68c | 184.46$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Stade Brestois 29 | 60c | 184$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked Stade Brestois 29 | 78c | 75.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Stade Brestois 29 | 57c | 62.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 43c | 62.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 37c | 53.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Stade Brestois 29 | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Stade Brestois 29 | 64c | 43.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…4478backed Stade Brestois 29 | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 29c | 34.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…dea2backed Stade Brestois 29 | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c8…4573backed Stade Brestois 29 | 76c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Stade Brestois 29 | 59c | 24.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…4781backed Stade Brestois 29 | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +113%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.