Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x118280f0e5c5282793545426a64d2d1f0ef3eb8a86e05521937e6d9ae868774c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e13…2126backed Over | 75c | 4,061$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 2,137$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.24 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 1,598$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.46 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 26c | 1,273$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.2 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 42c | 960.88$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 60c | 700.63$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.25 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 652.93$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.93 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 48c | 531.04$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.67 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 25c | 409$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.75 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 22c | 408.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 14c | 361.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 48c | 276.03$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.91 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 28c | 246.86$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.74 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…9af2backed Over | 73c | 188$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 51c | 171.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.81 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 62c | 162$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…49b7backed Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 27c | 137.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 26c | 106.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 106.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 27c | 106.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 25c | 105.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -68%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 14c | 86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 55c | 84.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 45c | 84.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 59c | 78.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 57c | 78.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…7d97backed Under | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 41c | 66.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 43c | 48.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 56c | 40.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…bfaabacked Under | 28c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 46c | 31.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 28.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…6a12backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…fcbdbacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 76c | 23.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 77c | 20.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 79c | 20.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 75c | 16.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.