Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf230cfa29d2d0dbac809546b1f7c5bab1f305b0e0a02ddfa2b8e264e3c6efd10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89ce…2edfbacked No | 46c | 4,258$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 45c | 3,599$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Yes | 55c | 2,567$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 54c | 2,088$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.64 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 45c | 1,987$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.34 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 1,492$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.03 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 54c | 1,015$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.5 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 55c | 721.27$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.49 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 54c | 420$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.4 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…8267backed No | 67c | 410.45$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 46c | 340$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.07 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 47c | 319.39$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 8c | 300.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 54c | 225$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 54c | 216.83$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.09 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…0104backed No | 62c | 187.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 168.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked No | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b34…a646backed No | 62c | 123.65$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 48c | 107.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 17c | 86.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 72c | 77.24$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 51c | 71.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 49c | 59.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 54c | 46.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 53c | 43.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 38c | 38.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 58c | 34.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 47c | 21.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.