CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c41b05f424051723759ab29983f9b1eb5edf8074fe317e2462a2edb4f8164f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof Liquid, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Liquid | 36c | 17,140$6,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,171.42 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Liquid | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.97 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Liquid | 34c | 8,161$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.22 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed FlyQuest | 65c | 7,000$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed FlyQuest | 66c | 7,000$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FlyQuest | 65c | 6,306$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.72 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed FlyQuest | 64c | 5,300$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FlyQuest | 66c | 4,391$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.83 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Liquid | 36c | 4,323$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.9 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed FlyQuest | 65c | 3,573$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.54 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked FlyQuest | 65c | 3,235$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.01 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed FlyQuest | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.2 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed FlyQuest | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Liquid | 35c | 2,380$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Liquid | 33c | 2,353$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.46 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Liquid | 36c | 2,227$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.62 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FlyQuest | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Liquid | 35c | 1,639$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.64 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked FlyQuest | 67c | 1,575$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.86 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Liquid | 40c | 1,489$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.25 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Liquid | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Liquid | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed FlyQuest | 64c | 1,100$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…2cd1backed FlyQuest | 67c | 1,045$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.78 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FlyQuest | 71c | 922.83$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.02 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Liquid | 36c | 902.56$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.83 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed FlyQuest | 66c | 895.43$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.45 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FlyQuest | 64c | 887.99$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed FlyQuest | 66c | 825.39$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.63 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FlyQuest | 65c | 815.99$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.21 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked FlyQuest | 59c | 784.27$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.55 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed FlyQuest | 64c | 650$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked FlyQuest | 65c | 620$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed FlyQuest | 65c | 596.35$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.72 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Liquid | 36c | 519.44$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…d801backed Liquid | 28c | 518.06$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Liquid | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked FlyQuest | 61c | 512.82$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef15…74dabacked Liquid | 38c | 473.68$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Liquid | 35c | 464.81$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Liquid | 35c | 400$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Liquid | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked FlyQuest | 64c | 376$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.36 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed Liquid | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed FlyQuest | 65c | 325.19$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked FlyQuest | 63c | 325$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266a…3579backed Liquid | 36c | 315.14$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.45 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…0312backed Liquid | 38c | 312.08$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked FlyQuest | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Liquid | 34c | 289.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732c…08dbbacked Liquid | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Liquid | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed FlyQuest | 60c | 272$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Liquid | 17c | 264.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Liquid | 31c | 246.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed FlyQuest | 66c | 224.24$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Liquid | 36c | 205.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 177 | 61%108 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FlyQuest | 74c | 200.63$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed FlyQuest | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed FlyQuest | 64c | 199.84$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed FlyQuest | 60c | 182.03$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.81 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed FlyQuest | 65c | 179.57$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Liquid | 33c | 160$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed FlyQuest | 63c | 158$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked FlyQuest | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked Liquid | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…48e0backed Liquid | 35c | 147$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…f72bbacked Liquid | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 319 | 50.5%161 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed Liquid | 35c | 139.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed FlyQuest | 64c | 139$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…f13bbacked FlyQuest | 66c | 136.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Liquid | 36c | 130.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed FlyQuest | 64c | 130$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Liquid | 34c | 117.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed FlyQuest | 70c | 113$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed FlyQuest | 65c | 112.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed FlyQuest | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa144…fc6cbacked Liquid | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed Liquid | 24c | 108.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a4…3ca7backed Liquid | 36c | 101.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed FlyQuest | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Liquid | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed FlyQuest | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…887cbacked Liquid | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Liquid | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Liquid | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed FlyQuest | 64c | 89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked FlyQuest | 64c | 82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210d…a04bbacked FlyQuest | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Liquid | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bf…e5d8backed Liquid | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed FlyQuest | 66c | 73.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed FlyQuest | 63c | 73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…84d0backed Liquid | 36c | 68.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed FlyQuest | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed FlyQuest | 65c | 61.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Liquid | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed FlyQuest | 66c | 61.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed FlyQuest | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602f…0057backed Liquid | 34c | 59.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1FlyQuest won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.