CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf851137e3065181b2273e1bd63a31ab4ff13f38ff06feef2dbd9bbcfe38d349c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Over | 49c | 2,380$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.24 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 51c | 2,078$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.15 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 57c | 1,035$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.41 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 1,000$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.91 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…e495backed Over | 52c | 524.86$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.47 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.2 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Over | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 52c | 472$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.56 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732c…08dbbacked Over | 58c | 451.74$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 399.97$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.98 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 50c | 386.07$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.01 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…4be5backed Under | 54c | 371.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.26 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Under | 52c | 324.73$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.87 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 76c | 309.4$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Over | 48c | 286.04$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.3 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed Over | 56c | 261.11$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.22 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 44c | 239.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.56 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7964…f585backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 55c | 177.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 40c | 160.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5237…b12cbacked Under | 49c | 145.24$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf1…e06bbacked Over | 49c | 144.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 37c | 107.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…a3adbacked Over | 47c | 105.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 48c | 89.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…f043backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 41c | 76.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Over | 47c | 72.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1ab1backed Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb716…1873backed Over | 49c | 71.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…8af5backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 50.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 53c | 46.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 27c | 45.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Over | 26c | 44.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0584…75eabacked Under | 54c | 36.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Over | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 44c | 34.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…94a3backed Over | 48c | 30.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Under | 49c | 20.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Under | 75c | 18.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1FlyQuest won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)FlyQuest won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.