Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Clemson Tigers vs. Virginia Cavaliers (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15b6ad503a339f62fa4ac7f672f0f7abd5667e3232faf7f77787fd1c0122b1e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clemson Tigersof Clemson Tigers, Virginia Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,794 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Virginia Cavaliers | 32c | 1,397$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Clemson Tigers | 47c | 1,052$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Virginia Cavaliers | 45c | 868.55$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.46 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Clemson Tigers | 60c | 816.44$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.21 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Virginia Cavaliers | 53c | 727.73$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.07 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Clemson Tigers | 74c | 405$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.69 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Virginia Cavaliers | 57c | 399.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Clemson Tigers | 42c | 394.9$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.29 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Clemson Tigers | 55c | 364.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.09 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Clemson Tigers | 52c | 297$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.87 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Virginia Cavaliers | 17c | 272$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…58c7backed Clemson Tigers | 49c | 260.23$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Clemson Tigers | 67c | 249.88$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Clemson Tigers | 49c | 137$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Clemson Tigers | 55c | 130.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Virginia Cavaliers | 46c | 119.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 51c | 112$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Virginia Cavaliers | 53c | 101.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Virginia Cavaliers | 43c | 79.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Virginia Cavaliers | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Virginia Cavaliers | 60c | 50.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Clemson Tigers | 42c | 44.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Virginia Cavaliers | 67c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Virginia Cavaliers | 52c | 38.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clemson Tigers | 45c | 33.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…ca17backed Virginia Cavaliers | 65c | 30.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Clemson Tigers | 43c | 29.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.