Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Power Rangers (BO3) - CCT Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafbf4b4deee72e62b103cd4de6fd8e622b7d0da50cfb386448d23d5ebb66901a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof AVULUS, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,101 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Power Rangers | 72c | 11,175$8,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,131.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked AVULUS | 28c | 10,000$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.09 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Power Rangers | 68c | 1,904$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.97 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked AVULUS | 29c | 1,537$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.09 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed AVULUS | 35c | 1,224$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.36 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Power Rangers | 70c | 1,007$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.39 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed AVULUS | 23c | 1,001$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.16 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked AVULUS | 19c | 1,000$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.77 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Power Rangers | 66c | 992.6$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.46 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked AVULUS | 30c | 933.27$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.32 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked AVULUS | 32c | 782.13$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.08 | 207 | 27.5%57 W · 150 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed AVULUS | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126a…2e3ebacked Power Rangers | 66c | 427.85$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.86 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed AVULUS | 27c | 373.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed AVULUS | 32c | 331.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.22 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed AVULUS | 37c | 269.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers | 67c | 245.22$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.95 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…cf3abacked Power Rangers | 66c | 216.67$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked AVULUS | 30c | 190$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Power Rangers | 73c | 180$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked AVULUS | 15c | 167.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed AVULUS | 30c | 166.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…4df5backed AVULUS | 31c | 161.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fd…da1abacked AVULUS | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Power Rangers | 71c | 121.94$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…c323backed AVULUS | 38c | 115$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Power Rangers | 72c | 109.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Power Rangers | 66c | 107.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…8ea2backed AVULUS | 29c | 105$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Power Rangers | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Power Rangers | 70c | 85.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Power Rangers | 68c | 76.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed AVULUS | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Power Rangers | 67c | 64.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked AVULUS | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed AVULUS | 30c | 59.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…a5ffbacked AVULUS | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Power Rangers | 73c | 50.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…0c01backed Power Rangers | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked AVULUS | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Power Rangers | 66c | 48.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995d…fb3bbacked Power Rangers | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Power Rangers | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Power Rangers | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Power Rangers | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Power Rangers | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Power Rangers | 70c | 23.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…1052backed Power Rangers | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Power Rangers | 79c | 18.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…4f37backed Power Rangers | 70c | 17.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5d…f8d9backed Power Rangers | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Power Rangers | 74c | 15.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61aa…539cbacked Power Rangers | 68c | 15.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8df…1707backed Power Rangers | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs Power Rangers (BO3) - CCT Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs Power Rangers - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.