Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bbb08378a038766e1135c34e074b48f86489462852005dbc8c08bebba8347f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof AVULUS, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,025 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked AVULUS | 24c | 3,118$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.93 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed AVULUS | 32c | 1,969$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.44 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Power Rangers | 62c | 1,563$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.9 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Power Rangers | 74c | 1,331$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.14 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed AVULUS | 2c | 935.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers | 73c | 755.72$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.5 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed AVULUS | 34c | 650$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked AVULUS | 18c | 636.11$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.23 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed AVULUS | 22c | 407.11$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed AVULUS | 28c | 257.83$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Power Rangers | 77c | 235$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked AVULUS | 7c | 234.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked AVULUS | 22c | 214.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…412ebacked Power Rangers | 70c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 65c | 172.88$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Power Rangers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Power Rangers | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Power Rangers | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Power Rangers | 70c | 135.14$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…c695backed Power Rangers | 73c | 86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked AVULUS | 14c | 81.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked AVULUS | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Power Rangers | 63c | 68.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Power Rangers | 63c | 62.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed AVULUS | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed AVULUS | 27c | 59.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Power Rangers | 59c | 49.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…ebdcbacked Power Rangers | 63c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Power Rangers | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Power Rangers | 68c | 21.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96dc…2c45backed Power Rangers | 65c | 16.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs Power Rangers (BO3) - CCT PlayoffsPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs Power Rangers - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.