TailMyPicks
Market

Euroleague · resolved market

Shanxi Loongs vs. Beijing Royal Fighters

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shanxi Loongsof Shanxi Loongs, Beijing Royal Fighters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,328

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,328 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Beijing Royal Fighters29c18,162$5,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,260.282330.4%7 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick18cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Shanxi Loongs69c7,377$5,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.662445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Shanxi Loongs68c5,194$3,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.4254251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Shanxi Loongs71c3,741$2,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed Shanxi Loongs72c3,405$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Beijing Royal Fighters16c3,015$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.8213235.6%47 W · 85 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters29c2,368$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.1512042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ee…7774backed Beijing Royal Fighters2c2,248$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e9…a60cbacked Shanxi Loongs72c1,806$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.581050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Beijing Royal Fighters1c1,668$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.661598.2%13 W · 146 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-66.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Shanxi Loongs71c1,576$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.695547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Beijing Royal Fighters28c1,428$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9816235.2%57 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Beijing Royal Fighters28c1,065$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.691533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Shanxi Loongs75c1,021$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.491163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Beijing Royal Fighters19c986.33$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.616828.6%48 W · 120 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Shanxi Loongs72c877$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.931361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Shanxi Loongs71c867.28$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.28757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Shanxi Loongs71c839.41$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.413154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Beijing Royal Fighters22c605.32$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.024037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Shanxi Loongs71c604.14$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Shanxi Loongs72c569.44$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.441050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Beijing Royal Fighters21c520$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6410941.3%45 W · 64 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Shanxi Loongs70c500.81$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3826935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Shanxi Loongs72c486.11$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.111163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Shanxi Loongs71c444.94$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.431446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ac…346fbacked Shanxi Loongs70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Shanxi Loongs71c415.56$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.511241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Shanxi Loongs60c408$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.011250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+77%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Beijing Royal Fighters28c400.36$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2728943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Beijing Royal Fighters22c385$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.733228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-43.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Beijing Royal Fighters31c377.42$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11710634.9%37 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Beijing Royal Fighters23c317.42$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.95520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Beijing Royal Fighters15c315.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1143543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Shanxi Loongs70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Beijing Royal Fighters9c278.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7135234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Beijing Royal Fighters35c273.93$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.872231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Beijing Royal Fighters28c269.65$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.58845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Beijing Royal Fighters38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Shanxi Loongs71c260.55$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5834344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Beijing Royal Fighters32c212.22$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.226544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Shanxi Loongs72c209.46$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.041442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Shanxi Loongs72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.331090%9 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick62cpaid+42.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x289e…49b2backed Shanxi Loongs73c205.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2cd…adafbacked Shanxi Loongs75c200.17$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b1…3678backed Beijing Royal Fighters30c200$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.251822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Shanxi Loongs69c196.26$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.212268.9%84 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8bf2…0f0dbacked Shanxi Loongs64c180$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Beijing Royal Fighters29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-72.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b06…3781backed Beijing Royal Fighters29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Beijing Royal Fighters30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76a5…555cbacked Beijing Royal Fighters15c166.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked Beijing Royal Fighters12c142.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.681020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-61.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Shanxi Loongs72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.893458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Shanxi Loongs72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.895100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e8e…cfbcbacked Beijing Royal Fighters21c136.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Beijing Royal Fighters8c136.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.411346.2%6 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick23cpaid+42.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d3a…eb2fbacked Beijing Royal Fighters10c129.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Beijing Royal Fighters11c117.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8fe…9f73backed Beijing Royal Fighters15c111.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Shanxi Loongs71c111$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+43.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Beijing Royal Fighters12c105.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.666363.5%40 W · 23 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbc4…6517backed Shanxi Loongs71c102.57$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Shanxi Loongs70c102$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.6wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-77.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Beijing Royal Fighters28c98.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.78534.1%29 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Shanxi Loongs72c97.55$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.551729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked Shanxi Loongs72c97.22$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Beijing Royal Fighters36c95.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.24740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a51…cfeebacked Beijing Royal Fighters15c94.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd24f…fed0backed Beijing Royal Fighters23c91.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8353…01a8backed Beijing Royal Fighters29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Beijing Royal Fighters21c85.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.936939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc1d…faffbacked Shanxi Loongs70c77.01$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Shanxi Loongs72c75.44$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.124151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Beijing Royal Fighters28c73.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9319748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfecc…db9ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters23c72.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Shanxi Loongs70c72.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.434643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Shanxi Loongs71c70.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4cf…9332backed Shanxi Loongs66c70.01$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Shanxi Loongs72c68.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.315046%23 W · 27 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-28.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Shanxi Loongs79c64.66$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4820936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908e…2291backed Beijing Royal Fighters31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Shanxi Loongs68c63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.162941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed Shanxi Loongs71c60.77$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.891866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaffd…c3f5backed Shanxi Loongs75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Beijing Royal Fighters35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f9…a6b2backed Beijing Royal Fighters22c56.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9651…0488backed Shanxi Loongs72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.56862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9b…3483backed Beijing Royal Fighters29c55.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.011241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Shanxi Loongs71c54.35$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.866663.6%42 W · 24 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2280…3780backed Shanxi Loongs74c52.49$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.884264.3%27 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Shanxi Loongs70c51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.551353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Beijing Royal Fighters31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked Shanxi Loongs72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Shanxi Loongs72c48.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.761172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+62.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcba8…11a2backed Shanxi Loongs71c48.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Beijing Royal Fighters28c47.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2225517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Shanxi Loongs65c46.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Shanxi Loongs71c42.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.372955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x955f…2e25backed Beijing Royal Fighters24c42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Beijing Royal Fighters40c42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.